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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Utah Valley · #120 · BW · 0–0UC Santa Barbara · #101 · BW · 0–0Sat, Mar 6 · 9:00 PM ETThe Thunderdome · Santa Barbara, CA
Model line
UC Santa Barbara −9.5
Win probability
UC Santa Barbara 84%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
UC Santa Barbara home
16%Win probability84%

The model makes UC Santa Barbara a 9.5-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Utah Valley offense vs UC Santa Barbara defense

Utah Valley OStatUC Santa Barbara D
69.4#124Tempo#24167.1
54.9#44eFG%#24752.6
20.1#350TOV%#17016.8
34.8#54ORB%#1525.5
38.2#98FT rate#33042.4
8.1#69Block%#3276.6
62.1#17Assist%#8749.0
56.9#332P%#25553.5
34.0#1763P%#17833.9
68.6#309FT%—
32.9#3173PA rate#30135.7

UC Santa Barbara offense vs Utah Valley defense

UC Santa Barbara OStatUtah Valley D
67.1#241Tempo#12469.4
54.7#50eFG%#8249.4
18.7#311TOV%#921.3
31.0#167ORB%#22531.4
36.8#137FT rate#29139.2
9.9#233Block%#1813.7
54.6#124Assist%#18452.5
53.6#1042P%#4047.7
37.4#233P%#26235.2
77.5#25FT%—
44.1#893PA rate#34333.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Utah Valley

Wed, Mar 18HGeorge Washington103L 78–79
Sat, Mar 14NCal Baptist216L 61–63
Fri, Mar 13NUT Arlington232W 67–65
Sat, Mar 7AUtah Tech254W 104–101
Thu, Mar 5ASouthern Utah246W 92–88

UC Santa Barbara

Wed, Mar 11NUC Davis188L 73–79
Sat, Mar 7HUC San Diego102L 63–64
Sat, Feb 28AUC Irvine109L 60–64
Thu, Feb 26HUC Riverside223W 70–59
Sat, Feb 21AHawaii132L 75–78