Model line
UC San Diego −6.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC San Diego 76%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Cal St. Bakersfield home
76%Win probability24%
The model makes UC San Diego a 6.6-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UC San Diego offense vs Cal St. Bakersfield defense
| UC San Diego O | Stat | Cal St. Bakersfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#108 | Tempo | #1472.6 |
| 52.6#123 | eFG% | #29954.0 |
| 16.5#168 | TOV% | #10417.9 |
| 26.1#321 | ORB% | #34835.6 |
| 31.2#278 | FT rate | #33142.6 |
| 10.2#257 | Block% | #1913.6 |
| 55.5#102 | Assist% | #23154.2 |
| 55.0#59 | 2P% | #27353.9 |
| 32.8#241 | 3P% | #30036.0 |
| 69.3#291 | FT% | — |
| 42.3#130 | 3PA rate | #19739.0 |
Cal St. Bakersfield offense vs UC San Diego defense
| Cal St. Bakersfield O | Stat | UC San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.6#14 | Tempo | #10869.7 |
| 45.7#352 | eFG% | #4848.4 |
| 18.9#315 | TOV% | #16916.8 |
| 30.4#183 | ORB% | #3927.0 |
| 42.2#27 | FT rate | #5029.3 |
| 9.1#150 | Block% | #2867.6 |
| 44.6#339 | Assist% | #29956.9 |
| 46.6#336 | 2P% | #7549.3 |
| 29.0#353 | 3P% | #5031.5 |
| 73.8#140 | FT% | — |
| 28.9#356 | 3PA rate | #4843.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UC San Diego
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 70–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cal Poly159 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 64–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 71–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal Poly159 | W 80–64 |
Cal St. Bakersfield
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Cal Poly159 | L 76–108 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 84–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Long Beach St.264 | L 87–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 72–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 80–88 |
