Model line
UC Santa Barbara −12.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Santa Barbara 91%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
UC Santa Barbara home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes UC Santa Barbara a 12.7-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Sacramento St. offense vs UC Santa Barbara defense
| Sacramento St. O | Stat | UC Santa Barbara D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#22 | Tempo | #24167.1 |
| 47.0#338 | eFG% | #24752.6 |
| 14.1#27 | TOV% | #17016.8 |
| 25.2#336 | ORB% | #1525.5 |
| 41.2#43 | FT rate | #33042.4 |
| 8.5#103 | Block% | #3276.6 |
| 48.9#268 | Assist% | #8749.0 |
| 46.6#338 | 2P% | #25553.5 |
| 31.9#284 | 3P% | #17833.9 |
| 78.1#16 | FT% | — |
| 35.6#257 | 3PA rate | #30135.7 |
UC Santa Barbara offense vs Sacramento St. defense
| UC Santa Barbara O | Stat | Sacramento St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#241 | Tempo | #2272.3 |
| 54.7#50 | eFG% | #33155.0 |
| 18.7#311 | TOV% | #14617.1 |
| 31.0#167 | ORB% | #30633.4 |
| 36.8#137 | FT rate | #21636.2 |
| 9.9#233 | Block% | #2727.8 |
| 54.6#124 | Assist% | #31557.9 |
| 53.6#104 | 2P% | #34056.8 |
| 37.4#23 | 3P% | #26035.2 |
| 77.5#25 | FT% | — |
| 44.1#89 | 3PA rate | #5043.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Sacramento St.
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Idaho238 | L 45–68 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Idaho St.327 | W 83–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Montana St.134 | L 61–82 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Montana228 | L 73–81 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Idaho238 | L 80–86 |
UC Santa Barbara
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Davis188 | L 73–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UC San Diego102 | L 63–64 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 60–64 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UC Riverside223 | W 70–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Hawaii132 | L 75–78 |
