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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Utah Valley · #120 · BW · 0–0Cal Poly · #159 · BW · 0–0Thu, Mar 4 · 10:00 PM ETMott Athletics Center · San Luis Obispo, CA
Model line
Cal Poly −3.2
Win probability
Cal Poly 63%
Projected tempo
73.0
possessions
Site
Cal Poly home
37%Win probability63%

The model makes Cal Poly a 3.2-point favorite, winning about 63 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Utah Valley offense vs Cal Poly defense

Utah Valley OStatCal Poly D
69.4#124Tempo#176.1
54.9#44eFG%#29253.8
20.1#350TOV%#20716.2
34.8#54ORB%#13829.6
38.2#98FT rate#15434.1
8.1#69Block%#3505.7
62.1#17Assist%#17952.5
56.9#332P%#30955.0
34.0#1763P%#22834.7
68.6#309FT%—
32.9#3173PA rate#13340.8

Cal Poly offense vs Utah Valley defense

Cal Poly OStatUtah Valley D
76.1#1Tempo#12469.4
51.5#171eFG%#8249.4
19.9#346TOV%#921.3
30.0#197ORB%#22531.4
34.9#184FT rate#29139.2
11.4#324Block%#1813.7
49.6#249Assist%#18452.5
53.7#922P%#4047.7
33.0#2283P%#26235.2
78.5#12FT%—
52.6#53PA rate#34333.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Utah Valley

Wed, Mar 18HGeorge Washington103L 78–79
Sat, Mar 14NCal Baptist216L 61–63
Fri, Mar 13NUT Arlington232W 67–65
Sat, Mar 7AUtah Tech254W 104–101
Thu, Mar 5ASouthern Utah246W 92–88

Cal Poly

Wed, Mar 11NUC San Diego102L 69–72
Sat, Mar 7HCal St. Bakersfield286W 108–76
Thu, Mar 5AUC Irvine109L 85–107
Sat, Feb 28AUC San Diego102L 64–80
Thu, Feb 26HLong Beach St.264W 102–92