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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Cal St. Northridge · #190 · BW · 0–0Cal Baptist · #216 · BW · 0–0Sat, Feb 27 · 8:00 PM ETDale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · Riverside, CA
Model line
Cal Baptist −5.3
Win probability
Cal Baptist 71%
Projected tempo
72.6
possessions
Site
Cal Baptist home
29%Win probability71%

The model makes Cal Baptist a 5.3-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Cal St. Northridge offense vs Cal Baptist defense

Cal St. Northridge OStatCal Baptist D
75.3#3Tempo#22267.5
51.3#181eFG%#1446.3
17.5#234TOV%#15017.0
31.9#127ORB%#4227.2
34.2#201FT rate#22836.6
10.1#244Block%#2977.3
56.6#75Assist%#2745.5
52.6#1442P%#3347.3
32.4#2583P%#529.5
66.8#344FT%—
33.6#3073PA rate#35831.6

Cal Baptist offense vs Cal St. Northridge defense

Cal Baptist OStatCal St. Northridge D
67.5#222Tempo#375.3
48.3#306eFG%#19051.6
17.9#264TOV%#19116.4
37.5#13ORB%#2626.6
35.9#153FT rate#16034.3
9.6#195Block%#2098.7
39.9#362Assist%#31257.9
47.4#3252P%#17551.7
33.4#1993P%#20934.4
71.3#229FT%—
32.0#3293PA rate#748.6

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Cal St. Northridge

Fri, Mar 13NUC Irvine109L 78–93
Thu, Mar 12NUC San Diego102W 80–70
Sat, Mar 7HCal St. Fullerton213L 77–90
Thu, Mar 5ACal St. Bakersfield286W 86–84
Sat, Feb 28AUC Riverside223L 84–95

Cal Baptist

Fri, Mar 20NKansas8L 60–68
Sat, Mar 14NUtah Valley120W 63–61
Fri, Mar 13NUtah Tech254W 86–72
Sat, Mar 7ASouthern Utah246W 82–75
Thu, Mar 5HAbilene Christian242W 87–48