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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UC Santa Barbara · #101 · BW · 0–0UC San Diego · #102 · BW · 0–0Sat, Feb 27 · 9:00 PM ETLionTree Arena · San Diego, CA
Model line
UC San Diego −7.1
Win probability
UC San Diego 77%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
UC San Diego home
23%Win probability77%

The model makes UC San Diego a 7.1-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UC Santa Barbara offense vs UC San Diego defense

UC Santa Barbara OStatUC San Diego D
67.1#241Tempo#10869.7
54.7#50eFG%#4848.4
18.7#311TOV%#16916.8
31.0#167ORB%#3927.0
36.8#137FT rate#5029.3
9.9#233Block%#2867.6
54.6#124Assist%#29956.9
53.6#1042P%#7549.3
37.4#233P%#5031.5
77.5#25FT%—
44.1#893PA rate#4843.9

UC San Diego offense vs UC Santa Barbara defense

UC San Diego OStatUC Santa Barbara D
69.7#108Tempo#24167.1
52.6#123eFG%#24752.6
16.5#168TOV%#17016.8
26.1#321ORB%#1525.5
31.2#278FT rate#33042.4
10.2#257Block%#3276.6
55.5#102Assist%#8749.0
55.0#592P%#25553.5
32.8#2413P%#17833.9
69.3#291FT%—
42.3#1303PA rate#30135.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UC Santa Barbara

Wed, Mar 11NUC Davis188L 73–79
Sat, Mar 7HUC San Diego102L 63–64
Sat, Feb 28AUC Irvine109L 60–64
Thu, Feb 26HUC Riverside223W 70–59
Sat, Feb 21AHawaii132L 75–78

UC San Diego

Thu, Mar 12NCal St. Northridge190L 70–80
Wed, Mar 11NCal Poly159W 72–69
Sat, Mar 7AUC Santa Barbara101W 64–63
Thu, Mar 5ACal St. Fullerton213L 71–75
Sat, Feb 28HCal Poly159W 80–64