Model line
UC Riverside −10.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Riverside 86%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
UC Riverside home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes UC Riverside a 10.3-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal St. Bakersfield offense vs UC Riverside defense
| Cal St. Bakersfield O | Stat | UC Riverside D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.6#14 | Tempo | #5171.1 |
| 45.7#352 | eFG% | #25752.7 |
| 18.9#315 | TOV% | #25315.5 |
| 30.4#183 | ORB% | #16130.0 |
| 42.2#27 | FT rate | #31140.9 |
| 9.1#150 | Block% | #13110.1 |
| 44.6#339 | Assist% | #13350.7 |
| 46.6#336 | 2P% | #27053.8 |
| 29.0#353 | 3P% | #15833.5 |
| 73.8#140 | FT% | — |
| 28.9#356 | 3PA rate | #35731.7 |
UC Riverside offense vs Cal St. Bakersfield defense
| UC Riverside O | Stat | Cal St. Bakersfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#51 | Tempo | #1472.6 |
| 48.9#293 | eFG% | #29954.0 |
| 19.0#322 | TOV% | #10417.9 |
| 27.8#275 | ORB% | #34835.6 |
| 35.0#182 | FT rate | #33142.6 |
| 8.6#116 | Block% | #1913.6 |
| 49.7#248 | Assist% | #23154.2 |
| 49.9#259 | 2P% | #27353.9 |
| 31.6#304 | 3P% | #30036.0 |
| 74.2#123 | FT% | — |
| 38.3#206 | 3PA rate | #19739.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal St. Bakersfield
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Cal Poly159 | L 76–108 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 84–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Long Beach St.264 | L 87–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 72–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 80–88 |
UC Riverside
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Hawaii132 | L 74–93 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | W 95–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | L 59–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | UC Davis188 | L 73–78 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 93–65 |
