Model line
UC Irvine −10.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Irvine 86%
Projected tempo
73.0
possessions
Site
UC Irvine home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes UC Irvine a 10.3-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal Poly offense vs UC Irvine defense
| Cal Poly O | Stat | UC Irvine D |
|---|---|---|
| 76.1#1 | Tempo | #6370.8 |
| 51.5#171 | eFG% | #1145.9 |
| 19.9#346 | TOV% | #5918.8 |
| 30.0#197 | ORB% | #21231.2 |
| 34.9#184 | FT rate | #1926.7 |
| 11.4#324 | Block% | #1114.9 |
| 49.6#249 | Assist% | #24954.8 |
| 53.7#92 | 2P% | #143.1 |
| 33.0#228 | 3P% | #16833.7 |
| 78.5#12 | FT% | — |
| 52.6#5 | 3PA rate | #23638.0 |
UC Irvine offense vs Cal Poly defense
| UC Irvine O | Stat | Cal Poly D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.8#63 | Tempo | #176.1 |
| 49.5#270 | eFG% | #29253.8 |
| 17.8#263 | TOV% | #20716.2 |
| 31.0#166 | ORB% | #13829.6 |
| 35.9#159 | FT rate | #15434.1 |
| 9.1#153 | Block% | #3505.7 |
| 55.1#113 | Assist% | #17952.5 |
| 49.1#281 | 2P% | #30955.0 |
| 33.6#194 | 3P% | #22834.7 |
| 69.7#280 | FT% | — |
| 28.0#360 | 3PA rate | #13340.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal Poly
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC San Diego102 | L 69–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 108–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 85–107 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 64–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Long Beach St.264 | W 102–92 |
UC Irvine
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | UNLV89 | L 72–75 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Hawaii132 | L 64–71 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Cal St. Northridge190 | W 93–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UC Davis188 | W 79–69 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Cal Poly159 | W 107–85 |
