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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Long Beach St. · #264 · BW · 0–0Sacramento St. · #174 · BW · 0–0Sat, Feb 27 · 10:00 PM ETHornet Pavilion · Sacramento, CA
Model line
Sacramento St. −11.5
Win probability
Sacramento St. 89%
Projected tempo
72.0
possessions
Site
Sacramento St. home
11%Win probability89%

The model makes Sacramento St. a 11.5-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Long Beach St. offense vs Sacramento St. defense

Long Beach St. OStatSacramento St. D
70.9#56Tempo#2272.3
50.6#207eFG%#33155.0
18.0#270TOV%#14617.1
26.2#316ORB%#30633.4
30.7#287FT rate#21636.2
7.2#19Block%#2727.8
46.2#313Assist%#31557.9
51.5#1922P%#34056.8
32.7#2443P%#26035.2
72.5#192FT%—
34.8#2783PA rate#5043.7

Sacramento St. offense vs Long Beach St. defense

Sacramento St. OStatLong Beach St. D
72.3#22Tempo#5670.9
47.0#338eFG%#29153.7
14.1#27TOV%#12117.5
25.2#336ORB%#6127.8
41.2#43FT rate#32842.3
8.5#103Block%#2687.8
48.9#268Assist%#20353.1
46.6#3382P%#30654.8
31.9#2843P%#21234.4
78.1#16FT%—
35.6#2573PA rate#30935.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Long Beach St.

Sat, Mar 7AHawaii132W 84–75
Thu, Mar 5HUC Davis188L 70–76
Sat, Feb 28ACal St. Bakersfield286W 88–87
Thu, Feb 26ACal Poly159L 92–102
Sat, Feb 21HCal St. Northridge190L 76–78

Sacramento St.

Sat, Mar 7NIdaho238L 45–68
Mon, Mar 2HIdaho St.327W 83–65
Sat, Feb 28AMontana St.134L 61–82
Thu, Feb 26AMontana228L 73–81
Sat, Feb 21HIdaho238L 80–86