Model line
UC Riverside −4.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Riverside 69%
Projected tempo
73.1
possessions
Site
UC Riverside home
31%Win probability69%
The model makes UC Riverside a 4.8-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal St. Northridge offense vs UC Riverside defense
| Cal St. Northridge O | Stat | UC Riverside D |
|---|---|---|
| 75.3#3 | Tempo | #5171.1 |
| 51.3#181 | eFG% | #25752.7 |
| 17.5#234 | TOV% | #25315.5 |
| 31.9#127 | ORB% | #16130.0 |
| 34.2#201 | FT rate | #31140.9 |
| 10.1#244 | Block% | #13110.1 |
| 56.6#75 | Assist% | #13350.7 |
| 52.6#144 | 2P% | #27053.8 |
| 32.4#258 | 3P% | #15833.5 |
| 66.8#344 | FT% | — |
| 33.6#307 | 3PA rate | #35731.7 |
UC Riverside offense vs Cal St. Northridge defense
| UC Riverside O | Stat | Cal St. Northridge D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#51 | Tempo | #375.3 |
| 48.9#293 | eFG% | #19051.6 |
| 19.0#322 | TOV% | #19116.4 |
| 27.8#275 | ORB% | #2626.6 |
| 35.0#182 | FT rate | #16034.3 |
| 8.6#116 | Block% | #2098.7 |
| 49.7#248 | Assist% | #31257.9 |
| 49.9#259 | 2P% | #17551.7 |
| 31.6#304 | 3P% | #20934.4 |
| 74.2#123 | FT% | — |
| 38.3#206 | 3PA rate | #748.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal St. Northridge
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UC Irvine109 | L 78–93 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UC San Diego102 | W 80–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 77–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 86–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC Riverside223 | L 84–95 |
UC Riverside
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Hawaii132 | L 74–93 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | W 95–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | L 59–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | UC Davis188 | L 73–78 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 93–65 |
