Model line
UC San Diego −12.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC San Diego 90%
Projected tempo
72.5
possessions
Site
UC San Diego home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes UC San Diego a 12.2-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal Poly offense vs UC San Diego defense
| Cal Poly O | Stat | UC San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 76.1#1 | Tempo | #10869.7 |
| 51.5#171 | eFG% | #4848.4 |
| 19.9#346 | TOV% | #16916.8 |
| 30.0#197 | ORB% | #3927.0 |
| 34.9#184 | FT rate | #5029.3 |
| 11.4#324 | Block% | #2867.6 |
| 49.6#249 | Assist% | #29956.9 |
| 53.7#92 | 2P% | #7549.3 |
| 33.0#228 | 3P% | #5031.5 |
| 78.5#12 | FT% | — |
| 52.6#5 | 3PA rate | #4843.9 |
UC San Diego offense vs Cal Poly defense
| UC San Diego O | Stat | Cal Poly D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#108 | Tempo | #176.1 |
| 52.6#123 | eFG% | #29253.8 |
| 16.5#168 | TOV% | #20716.2 |
| 26.1#321 | ORB% | #13829.6 |
| 31.2#278 | FT rate | #15434.1 |
| 10.2#257 | Block% | #3505.7 |
| 55.5#102 | Assist% | #17952.5 |
| 55.0#59 | 2P% | #30955.0 |
| 32.8#241 | 3P% | #22834.7 |
| 69.3#291 | FT% | — |
| 42.3#130 | 3PA rate | #13340.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal Poly
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC San Diego102 | L 69–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 108–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 85–107 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 64–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Long Beach St.264 | W 102–92 |
UC San Diego
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 70–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cal Poly159 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 64–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 71–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal Poly159 | W 80–64 |
