Model line
Cal St. Bakersfield −2.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Cal St. Bakersfield 62%
Projected tempo
72.2
possessions
Site
Cal St. Bakersfield home
38%Win probability62%
The model makes Cal St. Bakersfield a 2.8-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal St. Fullerton offense vs Cal St. Bakersfield defense
| Cal St. Fullerton O | Stat | Cal St. Bakersfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 75.5#2 | Tempo | #1472.6 |
| 51.4#174 | eFG% | #29954.0 |
| 15.2#76 | TOV% | #10417.9 |
| 24.6#345 | ORB% | #34835.6 |
| 37.8#106 | FT rate | #33142.6 |
| 8.5#99 | Block% | #1913.6 |
| 55.2#108 | Assist% | #23154.2 |
| 51.4#197 | 2P% | #27353.9 |
| 34.2#159 | 3P% | #30036.0 |
| 71.6#215 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#108 | 3PA rate | #19739.0 |
Cal St. Bakersfield offense vs Cal St. Fullerton defense
| Cal St. Bakersfield O | Stat | Cal St. Fullerton D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.6#14 | Tempo | #275.5 |
| 45.7#352 | eFG% | #30854.3 |
| 18.9#315 | TOV% | #3319.5 |
| 30.4#183 | ORB% | #7928.3 |
| 42.2#27 | FT rate | #18735.3 |
| 9.1#150 | Block% | #2168.6 |
| 44.6#339 | Assist% | #33459.7 |
| 46.6#336 | 2P% | #34357.1 |
| 29.0#353 | 3P% | #18034.0 |
| 73.8#140 | FT% | — |
| 28.9#356 | 3PA rate | #1846.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal St. Fullerton
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Hawaii132 | L 63–78 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UC Davis188 | W 82–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Cal St. Northridge190 | W 90–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UC San Diego102 | W 75–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Hawaii132 | L 85–87 |
Cal St. Bakersfield
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Cal Poly159 | L 76–108 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 84–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Long Beach St.264 | L 87–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 72–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 80–88 |
