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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UC San Diego · #102 · BW · 0–0Sacramento St. · #174 · BW · 0–0Thu, Feb 11 · 10:00 PM ETHornet Pavilion · Sacramento, CA
Model line
Sacramento St. −1.7
Win probability
Sacramento St. 57%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
Sacramento St. home
43%Win probability57%

The model makes Sacramento St. a 1.7-point favorite, winning about 57 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UC San Diego offense vs Sacramento St. defense

UC San Diego OStatSacramento St. D
69.7#108Tempo#2272.3
52.6#123eFG%#33155.0
16.5#168TOV%#14617.1
26.1#321ORB%#30633.4
31.2#278FT rate#21636.2
10.2#257Block%#2727.8
55.5#102Assist%#31557.9
55.0#592P%#34056.8
32.8#2413P%#26035.2
69.3#291FT%—
42.3#1303PA rate#5043.7

Sacramento St. offense vs UC San Diego defense

Sacramento St. OStatUC San Diego D
72.3#22Tempo#10869.7
47.0#338eFG%#4848.4
14.1#27TOV%#16916.8
25.2#336ORB%#3927.0
41.2#43FT rate#5029.3
8.5#103Block%#2867.6
48.9#268Assist%#29956.9
46.6#3382P%#7549.3
31.9#2843P%#5031.5
78.1#16FT%—
35.6#2573PA rate#4843.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UC San Diego

Thu, Mar 12NCal St. Northridge190L 70–80
Wed, Mar 11NCal Poly159W 72–69
Sat, Mar 7AUC Santa Barbara101W 64–63
Thu, Mar 5ACal St. Fullerton213L 71–75
Sat, Feb 28HCal Poly159W 80–64

Sacramento St.

Sat, Mar 7NIdaho238L 45–68
Mon, Mar 2HIdaho St.327W 83–65
Sat, Feb 28AMontana St.134L 61–82
Thu, Feb 26AMontana228L 73–81
Sat, Feb 21HIdaho238L 80–86