Model line
UC Santa Barbara −1.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Santa Barbara 57%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Cal St. Fullerton home
57%Win probability43%
The model makes UC Santa Barbara a 1.7-point favorite, winning about 57 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UC Santa Barbara offense vs Cal St. Fullerton defense
| UC Santa Barbara O | Stat | Cal St. Fullerton D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#241 | Tempo | #275.5 |
| 54.7#50 | eFG% | #30854.3 |
| 18.7#311 | TOV% | #3319.5 |
| 31.0#167 | ORB% | #7928.3 |
| 36.8#137 | FT rate | #18735.3 |
| 9.9#233 | Block% | #2168.6 |
| 54.6#124 | Assist% | #33459.7 |
| 53.6#104 | 2P% | #34357.1 |
| 37.4#23 | 3P% | #18034.0 |
| 77.5#25 | FT% | — |
| 44.1#89 | 3PA rate | #1846.4 |
Cal St. Fullerton offense vs UC Santa Barbara defense
| Cal St. Fullerton O | Stat | UC Santa Barbara D |
|---|---|---|
| 75.5#2 | Tempo | #24167.1 |
| 51.4#174 | eFG% | #24752.6 |
| 15.2#76 | TOV% | #17016.8 |
| 24.6#345 | ORB% | #1525.5 |
| 37.8#106 | FT rate | #33042.4 |
| 8.5#99 | Block% | #3276.6 |
| 55.2#108 | Assist% | #8749.0 |
| 51.4#197 | 2P% | #25553.5 |
| 34.2#159 | 3P% | #17833.9 |
| 71.6#215 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#108 | 3PA rate | #30135.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UC Santa Barbara
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Davis188 | L 73–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UC San Diego102 | L 63–64 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 60–64 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UC Riverside223 | W 70–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Hawaii132 | L 75–78 |
Cal St. Fullerton
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Hawaii132 | L 63–78 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UC Davis188 | W 82–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Cal St. Northridge190 | W 90–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UC San Diego102 | W 75–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Hawaii132 | L 85–87 |
