Model line
UC Riverside −4.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Riverside 68%
Projected tempo
72.3
possessions
Site
UC Riverside home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes UC Riverside a 4.3-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Sacramento St. offense vs UC Riverside defense
| Sacramento St. O | Stat | UC Riverside D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#22 | Tempo | #5171.1 |
| 47.0#338 | eFG% | #25752.7 |
| 14.1#27 | TOV% | #25315.5 |
| 25.2#336 | ORB% | #16130.0 |
| 41.2#43 | FT rate | #31140.9 |
| 8.5#103 | Block% | #13110.1 |
| 48.9#268 | Assist% | #13350.7 |
| 46.6#338 | 2P% | #27053.8 |
| 31.9#284 | 3P% | #15833.5 |
| 78.1#16 | FT% | — |
| 35.6#257 | 3PA rate | #35731.7 |
UC Riverside offense vs Sacramento St. defense
| UC Riverside O | Stat | Sacramento St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#51 | Tempo | #2272.3 |
| 48.9#293 | eFG% | #33155.0 |
| 19.0#322 | TOV% | #14617.1 |
| 27.8#275 | ORB% | #30633.4 |
| 35.0#182 | FT rate | #21636.2 |
| 8.6#116 | Block% | #2727.8 |
| 49.7#248 | Assist% | #31557.9 |
| 49.9#259 | 2P% | #34056.8 |
| 31.6#304 | 3P% | #26035.2 |
| 74.2#123 | FT% | — |
| 38.3#206 | 3PA rate | #5043.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Sacramento St.
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Idaho238 | L 45–68 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Idaho St.327 | W 83–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Montana St.134 | L 61–82 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Montana228 | L 73–81 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Idaho238 | L 80–86 |
UC Riverside
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Hawaii132 | L 74–93 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | W 95–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | L 59–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | UC Davis188 | L 73–78 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 93–65 |
