Model line
UC San Diego −13.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC San Diego 92%
Projected tempo
72.6
possessions
Site
UC San Diego home
8%Win probability92%
The model makes UC San Diego a 13.3-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal St. Northridge offense vs UC San Diego defense
| Cal St. Northridge O | Stat | UC San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 75.3#3 | Tempo | #10869.7 |
| 51.3#181 | eFG% | #4848.4 |
| 17.5#234 | TOV% | #16916.8 |
| 31.9#127 | ORB% | #3927.0 |
| 34.2#201 | FT rate | #5029.3 |
| 10.1#244 | Block% | #2867.6 |
| 56.6#75 | Assist% | #29956.9 |
| 52.6#144 | 2P% | #7549.3 |
| 32.4#258 | 3P% | #5031.5 |
| 66.8#344 | FT% | — |
| 33.6#307 | 3PA rate | #4843.9 |
UC San Diego offense vs Cal St. Northridge defense
| UC San Diego O | Stat | Cal St. Northridge D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#108 | Tempo | #375.3 |
| 52.6#123 | eFG% | #19051.6 |
| 16.5#168 | TOV% | #19116.4 |
| 26.1#321 | ORB% | #2626.6 |
| 31.2#278 | FT rate | #16034.3 |
| 10.2#257 | Block% | #2098.7 |
| 55.5#102 | Assist% | #31257.9 |
| 55.0#59 | 2P% | #17551.7 |
| 32.8#241 | 3P% | #20934.4 |
| 69.3#291 | FT% | — |
| 42.3#130 | 3PA rate | #748.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal St. Northridge
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UC Irvine109 | L 78–93 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UC San Diego102 | W 80–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 77–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 86–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC Riverside223 | L 84–95 |
UC San Diego
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 70–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cal Poly159 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 64–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 71–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal Poly159 | W 80–64 |
