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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Sacramento St. · #174 · BW · 0–0Cal Baptist · #216 · BW · 0–0Thu, Feb 4 · 10:00 PM ETDale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · Riverside, CA
Model line
Cal Baptist −4.8
Win probability
Cal Baptist 70%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
Cal Baptist home
31%Win probability70%

The model makes Cal Baptist a 4.8-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Sacramento St. offense vs Cal Baptist defense

Sacramento St. OStatCal Baptist D
72.3#22Tempo#22267.5
47.0#338eFG%#1446.3
14.1#27TOV%#15017.0
25.2#336ORB%#4227.2
41.2#43FT rate#22836.6
8.5#103Block%#2977.3
48.9#268Assist%#2745.5
46.6#3382P%#3347.3
31.9#2843P%#529.5
78.1#16FT%—
35.6#2573PA rate#35831.6

Cal Baptist offense vs Sacramento St. defense

Cal Baptist OStatSacramento St. D
67.5#222Tempo#2272.3
48.3#306eFG%#33155.0
17.9#264TOV%#14617.1
37.5#13ORB%#30633.4
35.9#153FT rate#21636.2
9.6#195Block%#2727.8
39.9#362Assist%#31557.9
47.4#3252P%#34056.8
33.4#1993P%#26035.2
71.3#229FT%—
32.0#3293PA rate#5043.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Sacramento St.

Sat, Mar 7NIdaho238L 45–68
Mon, Mar 2HIdaho St.327W 83–65
Sat, Feb 28AMontana St.134L 61–82
Thu, Feb 26AMontana228L 73–81
Sat, Feb 21HIdaho238L 80–86

Cal Baptist

Fri, Mar 20NKansas8L 60–68
Sat, Mar 14NUtah Valley120W 63–61
Fri, Mar 13NUtah Tech254W 86–72
Sat, Mar 7ASouthern Utah246W 82–75
Thu, Mar 5HAbilene Christian242W 87–48