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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Cal St. Bakersfield · #286 · BW · 0–0UC Irvine · #109 · BW · 0–0Thu, Feb 4 · 10:00 PM ETBren Events Center · Irvine, CA
Model line
UC Irvine −17.8
Win probability
UC Irvine 97%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
UC Irvine home
3%Win probability97%

The model makes UC Irvine a 17.8-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Cal St. Bakersfield offense vs UC Irvine defense

Cal St. Bakersfield OStatUC Irvine D
72.6#14Tempo#6370.8
45.7#352eFG%#1145.9
18.9#315TOV%#5918.8
30.4#183ORB%#21231.2
42.2#27FT rate#1926.7
9.1#150Block%#1114.9
44.6#339Assist%#24954.8
46.6#3362P%#143.1
29.0#3533P%#16833.7
73.8#140FT%—
28.9#3563PA rate#23638.0

UC Irvine offense vs Cal St. Bakersfield defense

UC Irvine OStatCal St. Bakersfield D
70.8#63Tempo#1472.6
49.5#270eFG%#29954.0
17.8#263TOV%#10417.9
31.0#166ORB%#34835.6
35.9#159FT rate#33142.6
9.1#153Block%#1913.6
55.1#113Assist%#23154.2
49.1#2812P%#27353.9
33.6#1943P%#30036.0
69.7#280FT%—
28.0#3603PA rate#19739.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Cal St. Bakersfield

Sat, Mar 7ACal Poly159L 76–108
Thu, Mar 5HCal St. Northridge190L 84–86
Sat, Feb 28HLong Beach St.264L 87–88
Thu, Feb 26AUC San Diego102L 72–84
Sat, Feb 21HCal St. Fullerton213L 80–88

UC Irvine

Tue, Mar 17HUNLV89L 72–75
Sat, Mar 14NHawaii132L 64–71
Fri, Mar 13NCal St. Northridge190W 93–78
Sat, Mar 7HUC Davis188W 79–69
Thu, Mar 5HCal Poly159W 107–85