Model line
Utah Valley −4.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Utah Valley 66%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
Cal St. Bakersfield home
66%Win probability34%
The model makes Utah Valley a 4.0-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Utah Valley offense vs Cal St. Bakersfield defense
| Utah Valley O | Stat | Cal St. Bakersfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#124 | Tempo | #1472.6 |
| 54.9#44 | eFG% | #29954.0 |
| 20.1#350 | TOV% | #10417.9 |
| 34.8#54 | ORB% | #34835.6 |
| 38.2#98 | FT rate | #33142.6 |
| 8.1#69 | Block% | #1913.6 |
| 62.1#17 | Assist% | #23154.2 |
| 56.9#33 | 2P% | #27353.9 |
| 34.0#176 | 3P% | #30036.0 |
| 68.6#309 | FT% | — |
| 32.9#317 | 3PA rate | #19739.0 |
Cal St. Bakersfield offense vs Utah Valley defense
| Cal St. Bakersfield O | Stat | Utah Valley D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.6#14 | Tempo | #12469.4 |
| 45.7#352 | eFG% | #8249.4 |
| 18.9#315 | TOV% | #921.3 |
| 30.4#183 | ORB% | #22531.4 |
| 42.2#27 | FT rate | #29139.2 |
| 9.1#150 | Block% | #1813.7 |
| 44.6#339 | Assist% | #18452.5 |
| 46.6#336 | 2P% | #4047.7 |
| 29.0#353 | 3P% | #26235.2 |
| 73.8#140 | FT% | — |
| 28.9#356 | 3PA rate | #34333.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Utah Valley
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | George Washington103 | L 78–79 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Cal Baptist216 | L 61–63 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UT Arlington232 | W 67–65 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Utah Tech254 | W 104–101 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Southern Utah246 | W 92–88 |
Cal St. Bakersfield
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Cal Poly159 | L 76–108 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 84–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Long Beach St.264 | L 87–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 72–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 80–88 |
