Model line
Cal St. Bakersfield −1.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Cal St. Bakersfield 55%
Projected tempo
72.1
possessions
Site
Cal St. Bakersfield home
45%Win probability55%
The model makes Cal St. Bakersfield a 1.2-point favorite, winning about 55 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Sacramento St. offense vs Cal St. Bakersfield defense
| Sacramento St. O | Stat | Cal St. Bakersfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#22 | Tempo | #1472.6 |
| 47.0#338 | eFG% | #29954.0 |
| 14.1#27 | TOV% | #10417.9 |
| 25.2#336 | ORB% | #34835.6 |
| 41.2#43 | FT rate | #33142.6 |
| 8.5#103 | Block% | #1913.6 |
| 48.9#268 | Assist% | #23154.2 |
| 46.6#338 | 2P% | #27353.9 |
| 31.9#284 | 3P% | #30036.0 |
| 78.1#16 | FT% | — |
| 35.6#257 | 3PA rate | #19739.0 |
Cal St. Bakersfield offense vs Sacramento St. defense
| Cal St. Bakersfield O | Stat | Sacramento St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.6#14 | Tempo | #2272.3 |
| 45.7#352 | eFG% | #33155.0 |
| 18.9#315 | TOV% | #14617.1 |
| 30.4#183 | ORB% | #30633.4 |
| 42.2#27 | FT rate | #21636.2 |
| 9.1#150 | Block% | #2727.8 |
| 44.6#339 | Assist% | #31557.9 |
| 46.6#336 | 2P% | #34056.8 |
| 29.0#353 | 3P% | #26035.2 |
| 73.8#140 | FT% | — |
| 28.9#356 | 3PA rate | #5043.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Sacramento St.
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Idaho238 | L 45–68 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Idaho St.327 | W 83–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Montana St.134 | L 61–82 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Montana228 | L 73–81 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Idaho238 | L 80–86 |
Cal St. Bakersfield
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Cal Poly159 | L 76–108 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 84–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Long Beach St.264 | L 87–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 72–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 80–88 |
