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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UC Irvine · #109 · BW · 0–0Cal Poly · #159 · BW · 0–0Thu, Jan 28 · 10:00 PM ETMott Athletics Center · San Luis Obispo, CA
Model line
Cal Poly −2.8
Win probability
Cal Poly 62%
Projected tempo
73.0
possessions
Site
Cal Poly home
38%Win probability62%

The model makes Cal Poly a 2.8-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UC Irvine offense vs Cal Poly defense

UC Irvine OStatCal Poly D
70.8#63Tempo#176.1
49.5#270eFG%#29253.8
17.8#263TOV%#20716.2
31.0#166ORB%#13829.6
35.9#159FT rate#15434.1
9.1#153Block%#3505.7
55.1#113Assist%#17952.5
49.1#2812P%#30955.0
33.6#1943P%#22834.7
69.7#280FT%—
28.0#3603PA rate#13340.8

Cal Poly offense vs UC Irvine defense

Cal Poly OStatUC Irvine D
76.1#1Tempo#6370.8
51.5#171eFG%#1145.9
19.9#346TOV%#5918.8
30.0#197ORB%#21231.2
34.9#184FT rate#1926.7
11.4#324Block%#1114.9
49.6#249Assist%#24954.8
53.7#922P%#143.1
33.0#2283P%#16833.7
78.5#12FT%—
52.6#53PA rate#23638.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UC Irvine

Tue, Mar 17HUNLV89L 72–75
Sat, Mar 14NHawaii132L 64–71
Fri, Mar 13NCal St. Northridge190W 93–78
Sat, Mar 7HUC Davis188W 79–69
Thu, Mar 5HCal Poly159W 107–85

Cal Poly

Wed, Mar 11NUC San Diego102L 69–72
Sat, Mar 7HCal St. Bakersfield286W 108–76
Thu, Mar 5AUC Irvine109L 85–107
Sat, Feb 28AUC San Diego102L 64–80
Thu, Feb 26HLong Beach St.264W 102–92