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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Long Beach St. · #264 · BW · 0–0Cal Baptist · #216 · BW · 0–0Thu, Jan 28 · 10:00 PM ETDale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · Riverside, CA
Model line
Cal Baptist −9.2
Win probability
Cal Baptist 83%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Cal Baptist home
17%Win probability83%

The model makes Cal Baptist a 9.2-point favorite, winning about 83 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Long Beach St. offense vs Cal Baptist defense

Long Beach St. OStatCal Baptist D
70.9#56Tempo#22267.5
50.6#207eFG%#1446.3
18.0#270TOV%#15017.0
26.2#316ORB%#4227.2
30.7#287FT rate#22836.6
7.2#19Block%#2977.3
46.2#313Assist%#2745.5
51.5#1922P%#3347.3
32.7#2443P%#529.5
72.5#192FT%—
34.8#2783PA rate#35831.6

Cal Baptist offense vs Long Beach St. defense

Cal Baptist OStatLong Beach St. D
67.5#222Tempo#5670.9
48.3#306eFG%#29153.7
17.9#264TOV%#12117.5
37.5#13ORB%#6127.8
35.9#153FT rate#32842.3
9.6#195Block%#2687.8
39.9#362Assist%#20353.1
47.4#3252P%#30654.8
33.4#1993P%#21234.4
71.3#229FT%—
32.0#3293PA rate#30935.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Long Beach St.

Sat, Mar 7AHawaii132W 84–75
Thu, Mar 5HUC Davis188L 70–76
Sat, Feb 28ACal St. Bakersfield286W 88–87
Thu, Feb 26ACal Poly159L 92–102
Sat, Feb 21HCal St. Northridge190L 76–78

Cal Baptist

Fri, Mar 20NKansas8L 60–68
Sat, Mar 14NUtah Valley120W 63–61
Fri, Mar 13NUtah Tech254W 86–72
Sat, Mar 7ASouthern Utah246W 82–75
Thu, Mar 5HAbilene Christian242W 87–48