Model line
UC Santa Barbara −7.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Santa Barbara 78%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
UC Santa Barbara home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes UC Santa Barbara a 7.3-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UC San Diego offense vs UC Santa Barbara defense
| UC San Diego O | Stat | UC Santa Barbara D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#108 | Tempo | #24167.1 |
| 52.6#123 | eFG% | #24752.6 |
| 16.5#168 | TOV% | #17016.8 |
| 26.1#321 | ORB% | #1525.5 |
| 31.2#278 | FT rate | #33042.4 |
| 10.2#257 | Block% | #3276.6 |
| 55.5#102 | Assist% | #8749.0 |
| 55.0#59 | 2P% | #25553.5 |
| 32.8#241 | 3P% | #17833.9 |
| 69.3#291 | FT% | — |
| 42.3#130 | 3PA rate | #30135.7 |
UC Santa Barbara offense vs UC San Diego defense
| UC Santa Barbara O | Stat | UC San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#241 | Tempo | #10869.7 |
| 54.7#50 | eFG% | #4848.4 |
| 18.7#311 | TOV% | #16916.8 |
| 31.0#167 | ORB% | #3927.0 |
| 36.8#137 | FT rate | #5029.3 |
| 9.9#233 | Block% | #2867.6 |
| 54.6#124 | Assist% | #29956.9 |
| 53.6#104 | 2P% | #7549.3 |
| 37.4#23 | 3P% | #5031.5 |
| 77.5#25 | FT% | — |
| 44.1#89 | 3PA rate | #4843.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UC San Diego
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 70–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cal Poly159 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 64–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 71–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal Poly159 | W 80–64 |
UC Santa Barbara
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Davis188 | L 73–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UC San Diego102 | L 63–64 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 60–64 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UC Riverside223 | W 70–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Hawaii132 | L 75–78 |
