Model line
UC Riverside −6.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Riverside 74%
Projected tempo
72.4
possessions
Site
UC Riverside home
26%Win probability74%
The model makes UC Riverside a 6.1-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal St. Fullerton offense vs UC Riverside defense
| Cal St. Fullerton O | Stat | UC Riverside D |
|---|---|---|
| 75.5#2 | Tempo | #5171.1 |
| 51.4#174 | eFG% | #25752.7 |
| 15.2#76 | TOV% | #25315.5 |
| 24.6#345 | ORB% | #16130.0 |
| 37.8#106 | FT rate | #31140.9 |
| 8.5#99 | Block% | #13110.1 |
| 55.2#108 | Assist% | #13350.7 |
| 51.4#197 | 2P% | #27053.8 |
| 34.2#159 | 3P% | #15833.5 |
| 71.6#215 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#108 | 3PA rate | #35731.7 |
UC Riverside offense vs Cal St. Fullerton defense
| UC Riverside O | Stat | Cal St. Fullerton D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#51 | Tempo | #275.5 |
| 48.9#293 | eFG% | #30854.3 |
| 19.0#322 | TOV% | #3319.5 |
| 27.8#275 | ORB% | #7928.3 |
| 35.0#182 | FT rate | #18735.3 |
| 8.6#116 | Block% | #2168.6 |
| 49.7#248 | Assist% | #33459.7 |
| 49.9#259 | 2P% | #34357.1 |
| 31.6#304 | 3P% | #18034.0 |
| 74.2#123 | FT% | — |
| 38.3#206 | 3PA rate | #1846.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal St. Fullerton
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Hawaii132 | L 63–78 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UC Davis188 | W 82–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Cal St. Northridge190 | W 90–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UC San Diego102 | W 75–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Hawaii132 | L 85–87 |
UC Riverside
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Hawaii132 | L 74–93 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | W 95–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | L 59–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | UC Davis188 | L 73–78 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 93–65 |
