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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Cal St. Northridge · #190 · BW · 0–0Cal Poly · #159 · BW · 0–0Sat, Jan 23 · 8:00 PM ETMott Athletics Center · San Luis Obispo, CA
Model line
Cal Poly −9.3
Win probability
Cal Poly 84%
Projected tempo
74.8
possessions
Site
Cal Poly home
16%Win probability84%

The model makes Cal Poly a 9.3-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Cal St. Northridge offense vs Cal Poly defense

Cal St. Northridge OStatCal Poly D
75.3#3Tempo#176.1
51.3#181eFG%#29253.8
17.5#234TOV%#20716.2
31.9#127ORB%#13829.6
34.2#201FT rate#15434.1
10.1#244Block%#3505.7
56.6#75Assist%#17952.5
52.6#1442P%#30955.0
32.4#2583P%#22834.7
66.8#344FT%—
33.6#3073PA rate#13340.8

Cal Poly offense vs Cal St. Northridge defense

Cal Poly OStatCal St. Northridge D
76.1#1Tempo#375.3
51.5#171eFG%#19051.6
19.9#346TOV%#19116.4
30.0#197ORB%#2626.6
34.9#184FT rate#16034.3
11.4#324Block%#2098.7
49.6#249Assist%#31257.9
53.7#922P%#17551.7
33.0#2283P%#20934.4
78.5#12FT%—
52.6#53PA rate#748.6

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Cal St. Northridge

Fri, Mar 13NUC Irvine109L 78–93
Thu, Mar 12NUC San Diego102W 80–70
Sat, Mar 7HCal St. Fullerton213L 77–90
Thu, Mar 5ACal St. Bakersfield286W 86–84
Sat, Feb 28AUC Riverside223L 84–95

Cal Poly

Wed, Mar 11NUC San Diego102L 69–72
Sat, Mar 7HCal St. Bakersfield286W 108–76
Thu, Mar 5AUC Irvine109L 85–107
Sat, Feb 28AUC San Diego102L 64–80
Thu, Feb 26HLong Beach St.264W 102–92