Model line
UC Santa Barbara −14.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Santa Barbara 93%
Projected tempo
71.7
possessions
Site
UC Santa Barbara home
7%Win probability93%
The model makes UC Santa Barbara a 14.0-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal St. Northridge offense vs UC Santa Barbara defense
| Cal St. Northridge O | Stat | UC Santa Barbara D |
|---|---|---|
| 75.3#3 | Tempo | #24167.1 |
| 51.3#181 | eFG% | #24752.6 |
| 17.5#234 | TOV% | #17016.8 |
| 31.9#127 | ORB% | #1525.5 |
| 34.2#201 | FT rate | #33042.4 |
| 10.1#244 | Block% | #3276.6 |
| 56.6#75 | Assist% | #8749.0 |
| 52.6#144 | 2P% | #25553.5 |
| 32.4#258 | 3P% | #17833.9 |
| 66.8#344 | FT% | — |
| 33.6#307 | 3PA rate | #30135.7 |
UC Santa Barbara offense vs Cal St. Northridge defense
| UC Santa Barbara O | Stat | Cal St. Northridge D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#241 | Tempo | #375.3 |
| 54.7#50 | eFG% | #19051.6 |
| 18.7#311 | TOV% | #19116.4 |
| 31.0#167 | ORB% | #2626.6 |
| 36.8#137 | FT rate | #16034.3 |
| 9.9#233 | Block% | #2098.7 |
| 54.6#124 | Assist% | #31257.9 |
| 53.6#104 | 2P% | #17551.7 |
| 37.4#23 | 3P% | #20934.4 |
| 77.5#25 | FT% | — |
| 44.1#89 | 3PA rate | #748.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal St. Northridge
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UC Irvine109 | L 78–93 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UC San Diego102 | W 80–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 77–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 86–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC Riverside223 | L 84–95 |
UC Santa Barbara
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Davis188 | L 73–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UC San Diego102 | L 63–64 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 60–64 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UC Riverside223 | W 70–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Hawaii132 | L 75–78 |
