Model line
Cal Poly −12.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Cal Poly 91%
Projected tempo
72.8
possessions
Site
Cal Poly home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes Cal Poly a 12.7-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal St. Bakersfield offense vs Cal Poly defense
| Cal St. Bakersfield O | Stat | Cal Poly D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.6#14 | Tempo | #176.1 |
| 45.7#352 | eFG% | #29253.8 |
| 18.9#315 | TOV% | #20716.2 |
| 30.4#183 | ORB% | #13829.6 |
| 42.2#27 | FT rate | #15434.1 |
| 9.1#150 | Block% | #3505.7 |
| 44.6#339 | Assist% | #17952.5 |
| 46.6#336 | 2P% | #30955.0 |
| 29.0#353 | 3P% | #22834.7 |
| 73.8#140 | FT% | — |
| 28.9#356 | 3PA rate | #13340.8 |
Cal Poly offense vs Cal St. Bakersfield defense
| Cal Poly O | Stat | Cal St. Bakersfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 76.1#1 | Tempo | #1472.6 |
| 51.5#171 | eFG% | #29954.0 |
| 19.9#346 | TOV% | #10417.9 |
| 30.0#197 | ORB% | #34835.6 |
| 34.9#184 | FT rate | #33142.6 |
| 11.4#324 | Block% | #1913.6 |
| 49.6#249 | Assist% | #23154.2 |
| 53.7#92 | 2P% | #27353.9 |
| 33.0#228 | 3P% | #30036.0 |
| 78.5#12 | FT% | — |
| 52.6#5 | 3PA rate | #19739.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal St. Bakersfield
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Cal Poly159 | L 76–108 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 84–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Long Beach St.264 | L 87–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 72–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 80–88 |
Cal Poly
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC San Diego102 | L 69–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 108–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 85–107 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 64–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Long Beach St.264 | W 102–92 |
