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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Long Beach St. · #264 · BW · 0–0UC San Diego · #102 · BW · 0–0Thu, Jan 21 · 10:00 PM ETLionTree Arena · San Diego, CA
Model line
UC San Diego −17.9
Win probability
UC San Diego 97%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
UC San Diego home
3%Win probability97%

The model makes UC San Diego a 17.9-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Long Beach St. offense vs UC San Diego defense

Long Beach St. OStatUC San Diego D
70.9#56Tempo#10869.7
50.6#207eFG%#4848.4
18.0#270TOV%#16916.8
26.2#316ORB%#3927.0
30.7#287FT rate#5029.3
7.2#19Block%#2867.6
46.2#313Assist%#29956.9
51.5#1922P%#7549.3
32.7#2443P%#5031.5
72.5#192FT%—
34.8#2783PA rate#4843.9

UC San Diego offense vs Long Beach St. defense

UC San Diego OStatLong Beach St. D
69.7#108Tempo#5670.9
52.6#123eFG%#29153.7
16.5#168TOV%#12117.5
26.1#321ORB%#6127.8
31.2#278FT rate#32842.3
10.2#257Block%#2687.8
55.5#102Assist%#20353.1
55.0#592P%#30654.8
32.8#2413P%#21234.4
69.3#291FT%—
42.3#1303PA rate#30935.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Long Beach St.

Sat, Mar 7AHawaii132W 84–75
Thu, Mar 5HUC Davis188L 70–76
Sat, Feb 28ACal St. Bakersfield286W 88–87
Thu, Feb 26ACal Poly159L 92–102
Sat, Feb 21HCal St. Northridge190L 76–78

UC San Diego

Thu, Mar 12NCal St. Northridge190L 70–80
Wed, Mar 11NCal Poly159W 72–69
Sat, Mar 7AUC Santa Barbara101W 64–63
Thu, Mar 5ACal St. Fullerton213L 71–75
Sat, Feb 28HCal Poly159W 80–64