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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UC Riverside · #223 · BW · 0–0Sacramento St. · #174 · BW · 0–0Thu, Jan 21 · 10:00 PM ETHornet Pavilion · Sacramento, CA
Model line
Sacramento St. −10.1
Win probability
Sacramento St. 86%
Projected tempo
72.3
possessions
Site
Sacramento St. home
14%Win probability86%

The model makes Sacramento St. a 10.1-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UC Riverside offense vs Sacramento St. defense

UC Riverside OStatSacramento St. D
71.1#51Tempo#2272.3
48.9#293eFG%#33155.0
19.0#322TOV%#14617.1
27.8#275ORB%#30633.4
35.0#182FT rate#21636.2
8.6#116Block%#2727.8
49.7#248Assist%#31557.9
49.9#2592P%#34056.8
31.6#3043P%#26035.2
74.2#123FT%—
38.3#2063PA rate#5043.7

Sacramento St. offense vs UC Riverside defense

Sacramento St. OStatUC Riverside D
72.3#22Tempo#5171.1
47.0#338eFG%#25752.7
14.1#27TOV%#25315.5
25.2#336ORB%#16130.0
41.2#43FT rate#31140.9
8.5#103Block%#13110.1
48.9#268Assist%#13350.7
46.6#3382P%#27053.8
31.9#2843P%#15833.5
78.1#16FT%—
35.6#2573PA rate#35731.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UC Riverside

Thu, Mar 5AHawaii132L 74–93
Sat, Feb 28HCal St. Northridge190W 95–84
Thu, Feb 26AUC Santa Barbara101L 59–70
Sat, Feb 21HUC Davis188L 73–78
Thu, Feb 19HCal St. Bakersfield286W 93–65

Sacramento St.

Sat, Mar 7NIdaho238L 45–68
Mon, Mar 2HIdaho St.327W 83–65
Sat, Feb 28AMontana St.134L 61–82
Thu, Feb 26AMontana228L 73–81
Sat, Feb 21HIdaho238L 80–86