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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UC Santa Barbara · #101 · BW · 0–0Sacramento St. · #174 · BW · 0–0Sat, Jan 16 · 10:00 PM ETHornet Pavilion · Sacramento, CA
Model line
Sacramento St. −1.2
Win probability
Sacramento St. 55%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Sacramento St. home
45%Win probability55%

The model makes Sacramento St. a 1.2-point favorite, winning about 55 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UC Santa Barbara offense vs Sacramento St. defense

UC Santa Barbara OStatSacramento St. D
67.1#241Tempo#2272.3
54.7#50eFG%#33155.0
18.7#311TOV%#14617.1
31.0#167ORB%#30633.4
36.8#137FT rate#21636.2
9.9#233Block%#2727.8
54.6#124Assist%#31557.9
53.6#1042P%#34056.8
37.4#233P%#26035.2
77.5#25FT%—
44.1#893PA rate#5043.7

Sacramento St. offense vs UC Santa Barbara defense

Sacramento St. OStatUC Santa Barbara D
72.3#22Tempo#24167.1
47.0#338eFG%#24752.6
14.1#27TOV%#17016.8
25.2#336ORB%#1525.5
41.2#43FT rate#33042.4
8.5#103Block%#3276.6
48.9#268Assist%#8749.0
46.6#3382P%#25553.5
31.9#2843P%#17833.9
78.1#16FT%—
35.6#2573PA rate#30135.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UC Santa Barbara

Wed, Mar 11NUC Davis188L 73–79
Sat, Mar 7HUC San Diego102L 63–64
Sat, Feb 28AUC Irvine109L 60–64
Thu, Feb 26HUC Riverside223W 70–59
Sat, Feb 21AHawaii132L 75–78

Sacramento St.

Sat, Mar 7NIdaho238L 45–68
Mon, Mar 2HIdaho St.327W 83–65
Sat, Feb 28AMontana St.134L 61–82
Thu, Feb 26AMontana228L 73–81
Sat, Feb 21HIdaho238L 80–86