Model line
Utah Valley −10.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Utah Valley 86%
Projected tempo
73.0
possessions
Site
Utah Valley home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Utah Valley a 10.3-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal Poly offense vs Utah Valley defense
| Cal Poly O | Stat | Utah Valley D |
|---|---|---|
| 76.1#1 | Tempo | #12469.4 |
| 51.5#171 | eFG% | #8249.4 |
| 19.9#346 | TOV% | #921.3 |
| 30.0#197 | ORB% | #22531.4 |
| 34.9#184 | FT rate | #29139.2 |
| 11.4#324 | Block% | #1813.7 |
| 49.6#249 | Assist% | #18452.5 |
| 53.7#92 | 2P% | #4047.7 |
| 33.0#228 | 3P% | #26235.2 |
| 78.5#12 | FT% | — |
| 52.6#5 | 3PA rate | #34333.3 |
Utah Valley offense vs Cal Poly defense
| Utah Valley O | Stat | Cal Poly D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#124 | Tempo | #176.1 |
| 54.9#44 | eFG% | #29253.8 |
| 20.1#350 | TOV% | #20716.2 |
| 34.8#54 | ORB% | #13829.6 |
| 38.2#98 | FT rate | #15434.1 |
| 8.1#69 | Block% | #3505.7 |
| 62.1#17 | Assist% | #17952.5 |
| 56.9#33 | 2P% | #30955.0 |
| 34.0#176 | 3P% | #22834.7 |
| 68.6#309 | FT% | — |
| 32.9#317 | 3PA rate | #13340.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal Poly
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC San Diego102 | L 69–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 108–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 85–107 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 64–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Long Beach St.264 | W 102–92 |
Utah Valley
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | George Washington103 | L 78–79 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Cal Baptist216 | L 61–63 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UT Arlington232 | W 67–65 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Utah Tech254 | W 104–101 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Southern Utah246 | W 92–88 |
