Model line
UC San Diego −2.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC San Diego 61%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
UC Riverside home
61%Win probability39%
The model makes UC San Diego a 2.7-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UC San Diego offense vs UC Riverside defense
| UC San Diego O | Stat | UC Riverside D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#108 | Tempo | #5171.1 |
| 52.6#123 | eFG% | #25752.7 |
| 16.5#168 | TOV% | #25315.5 |
| 26.1#321 | ORB% | #16130.0 |
| 31.2#278 | FT rate | #31140.9 |
| 10.2#257 | Block% | #13110.1 |
| 55.5#102 | Assist% | #13350.7 |
| 55.0#59 | 2P% | #27053.8 |
| 32.8#241 | 3P% | #15833.5 |
| 69.3#291 | FT% | — |
| 42.3#130 | 3PA rate | #35731.7 |
UC Riverside offense vs UC San Diego defense
| UC Riverside O | Stat | UC San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#51 | Tempo | #10869.7 |
| 48.9#293 | eFG% | #4848.4 |
| 19.0#322 | TOV% | #16916.8 |
| 27.8#275 | ORB% | #3927.0 |
| 35.0#182 | FT rate | #5029.3 |
| 8.6#116 | Block% | #2867.6 |
| 49.7#248 | Assist% | #29956.9 |
| 49.9#259 | 2P% | #7549.3 |
| 31.6#304 | 3P% | #5031.5 |
| 74.2#123 | FT% | — |
| 38.3#206 | 3PA rate | #4843.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UC San Diego
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 70–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cal Poly159 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 64–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 71–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal Poly159 | W 80–64 |
UC Riverside
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Hawaii132 | L 74–93 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | W 95–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | L 59–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | UC Davis188 | L 73–78 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 93–65 |
