Model line
Sacramento St. −5.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Sacramento St. 73%
Projected tempo
74.0
possessions
Site
Sacramento St. home
27%Win probability73%
The model makes Sacramento St. a 5.8-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal Poly offense vs Sacramento St. defense
| Cal Poly O | Stat | Sacramento St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 76.1#1 | Tempo | #2272.3 |
| 51.5#171 | eFG% | #33155.0 |
| 19.9#346 | TOV% | #14617.1 |
| 30.0#197 | ORB% | #30633.4 |
| 34.9#184 | FT rate | #21636.2 |
| 11.4#324 | Block% | #2727.8 |
| 49.6#249 | Assist% | #31557.9 |
| 53.7#92 | 2P% | #34056.8 |
| 33.0#228 | 3P% | #26035.2 |
| 78.5#12 | FT% | — |
| 52.6#5 | 3PA rate | #5043.7 |
Sacramento St. offense vs Cal Poly defense
| Sacramento St. O | Stat | Cal Poly D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#22 | Tempo | #176.1 |
| 47.0#338 | eFG% | #29253.8 |
| 14.1#27 | TOV% | #20716.2 |
| 25.2#336 | ORB% | #13829.6 |
| 41.2#43 | FT rate | #15434.1 |
| 8.5#103 | Block% | #3505.7 |
| 48.9#268 | Assist% | #17952.5 |
| 46.6#338 | 2P% | #30955.0 |
| 31.9#284 | 3P% | #22834.7 |
| 78.1#16 | FT% | — |
| 35.6#257 | 3PA rate | #13340.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal Poly
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC San Diego102 | L 69–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 108–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 85–107 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 64–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Long Beach St.264 | W 102–92 |
Sacramento St.
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Idaho238 | L 45–68 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Idaho St.327 | W 83–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Montana St.134 | L 61–82 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Montana228 | L 73–81 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Idaho238 | L 80–86 |
