Model line
Cal Poly −10.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Cal Poly 85%
Projected tempo
74.0
possessions
Site
Cal Poly home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Cal Poly a 10.0-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal St. Fullerton offense vs Cal Poly defense
| Cal St. Fullerton O | Stat | Cal Poly D |
|---|---|---|
| 75.5#2 | Tempo | #176.1 |
| 51.4#174 | eFG% | #29253.8 |
| 15.2#76 | TOV% | #20716.2 |
| 24.6#345 | ORB% | #13829.6 |
| 37.8#106 | FT rate | #15434.1 |
| 8.5#99 | Block% | #3505.7 |
| 55.2#108 | Assist% | #17952.5 |
| 51.4#197 | 2P% | #30955.0 |
| 34.2#159 | 3P% | #22834.7 |
| 71.6#215 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#108 | 3PA rate | #13340.8 |
Cal Poly offense vs Cal St. Fullerton defense
| Cal Poly O | Stat | Cal St. Fullerton D |
|---|---|---|
| 76.1#1 | Tempo | #275.5 |
| 51.5#171 | eFG% | #30854.3 |
| 19.9#346 | TOV% | #3319.5 |
| 30.0#197 | ORB% | #7928.3 |
| 34.9#184 | FT rate | #18735.3 |
| 11.4#324 | Block% | #2168.6 |
| 49.6#249 | Assist% | #33459.7 |
| 53.7#92 | 2P% | #34357.1 |
| 33.0#228 | 3P% | #18034.0 |
| 78.5#12 | FT% | — |
| 52.6#5 | 3PA rate | #1846.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal St. Fullerton
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Hawaii132 | L 63–78 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UC Davis188 | W 82–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Cal St. Northridge190 | W 90–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UC San Diego102 | W 75–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Hawaii132 | L 85–87 |
Cal Poly
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC San Diego102 | L 69–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 108–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 85–107 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 64–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Long Beach St.264 | W 102–92 |
