Model line
UC San Diego −13.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC San Diego 92%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
UC San Diego home
8%Win probability92%
The model makes UC San Diego a 13.5-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Sacramento St. offense vs UC San Diego defense
| Sacramento St. O | Stat | UC San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#22 | Tempo | #10869.7 |
| 47.0#338 | eFG% | #4848.4 |
| 14.1#27 | TOV% | #16916.8 |
| 25.2#336 | ORB% | #3927.0 |
| 41.2#43 | FT rate | #5029.3 |
| 8.5#103 | Block% | #2867.6 |
| 48.9#268 | Assist% | #29956.9 |
| 46.6#338 | 2P% | #7549.3 |
| 31.9#284 | 3P% | #5031.5 |
| 78.1#16 | FT% | — |
| 35.6#257 | 3PA rate | #4843.9 |
UC San Diego offense vs Sacramento St. defense
| UC San Diego O | Stat | Sacramento St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#108 | Tempo | #2272.3 |
| 52.6#123 | eFG% | #33155.0 |
| 16.5#168 | TOV% | #14617.1 |
| 26.1#321 | ORB% | #30633.4 |
| 31.2#278 | FT rate | #21636.2 |
| 10.2#257 | Block% | #2727.8 |
| 55.5#102 | Assist% | #31557.9 |
| 55.0#59 | 2P% | #34056.8 |
| 32.8#241 | 3P% | #26035.2 |
| 69.3#291 | FT% | — |
| 42.3#130 | 3PA rate | #5043.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Sacramento St.
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Idaho238 | L 45–68 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Idaho St.327 | W 83–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Montana St.134 | L 61–82 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Montana228 | L 73–81 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Idaho238 | L 80–86 |
UC San Diego
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 70–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cal Poly159 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 64–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 71–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal Poly159 | W 80–64 |
