Model line
UC Santa Barbara −16.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Santa Barbara 96%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
UC Santa Barbara home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes UC Santa Barbara a 16.8-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Long Beach St. offense vs UC Santa Barbara defense
| Long Beach St. O | Stat | UC Santa Barbara D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#56 | Tempo | #24167.1 |
| 50.6#207 | eFG% | #24752.6 |
| 18.0#270 | TOV% | #17016.8 |
| 26.2#316 | ORB% | #1525.5 |
| 30.7#287 | FT rate | #33042.4 |
| 7.2#19 | Block% | #3276.6 |
| 46.2#313 | Assist% | #8749.0 |
| 51.5#192 | 2P% | #25553.5 |
| 32.7#244 | 3P% | #17833.9 |
| 72.5#192 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#278 | 3PA rate | #30135.7 |
UC Santa Barbara offense vs Long Beach St. defense
| UC Santa Barbara O | Stat | Long Beach St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#241 | Tempo | #5670.9 |
| 54.7#50 | eFG% | #29153.7 |
| 18.7#311 | TOV% | #12117.5 |
| 31.0#167 | ORB% | #6127.8 |
| 36.8#137 | FT rate | #32842.3 |
| 9.9#233 | Block% | #2687.8 |
| 54.6#124 | Assist% | #20353.1 |
| 53.6#104 | 2P% | #30654.8 |
| 37.4#23 | 3P% | #21234.4 |
| 77.5#25 | FT% | — |
| 44.1#89 | 3PA rate | #30935.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Long Beach St.
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Hawaii132 | W 84–75 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UC Davis188 | L 70–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 88–87 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Cal Poly159 | L 92–102 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 76–78 |
UC Santa Barbara
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Davis188 | L 73–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UC San Diego102 | L 63–64 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 60–64 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UC Riverside223 | W 70–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Hawaii132 | L 75–78 |
