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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Utah Valley · #120 · BW · 0–0UC San Diego · #102 · BW · 0–0Thu, Jan 7 · 10:00 PM ETLionTree Arena · San Diego, CA
Model line
UC San Diego −9.9
Win probability
UC San Diego 85%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
UC San Diego home
15%Win probability85%

The model makes UC San Diego a 9.9-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Utah Valley offense vs UC San Diego defense

Utah Valley OStatUC San Diego D
69.4#124Tempo#10869.7
54.9#44eFG%#4848.4
20.1#350TOV%#16916.8
34.8#54ORB%#3927.0
38.2#98FT rate#5029.3
8.1#69Block%#2867.6
62.1#17Assist%#29956.9
56.9#332P%#7549.3
34.0#1763P%#5031.5
68.6#309FT%—
32.9#3173PA rate#4843.9

UC San Diego offense vs Utah Valley defense

UC San Diego OStatUtah Valley D
69.7#108Tempo#12469.4
52.6#123eFG%#8249.4
16.5#168TOV%#921.3
26.1#321ORB%#22531.4
31.2#278FT rate#29139.2
10.2#257Block%#1813.7
55.5#102Assist%#18452.5
55.0#592P%#4047.7
32.8#2413P%#26235.2
69.3#291FT%—
42.3#1303PA rate#34333.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Utah Valley

Wed, Mar 18HGeorge Washington103L 78–79
Sat, Mar 14NCal Baptist216L 61–63
Fri, Mar 13NUT Arlington232W 67–65
Sat, Mar 7AUtah Tech254W 104–101
Thu, Mar 5ASouthern Utah246W 92–88

UC San Diego

Thu, Mar 12NCal St. Northridge190L 70–80
Wed, Mar 11NCal Poly159W 72–69
Sat, Mar 7AUC Santa Barbara101W 64–63
Thu, Mar 5ACal St. Fullerton213L 71–75
Sat, Feb 28HCal Poly159W 80–64