Model line
UC San Diego −5.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC San Diego 72%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Long Beach St. home
72%Win probability28%
The model makes UC San Diego a 5.6-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UC San Diego offense vs Long Beach St. defense
| UC San Diego O | Stat | Long Beach St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#108 | Tempo | #5670.9 |
| 52.6#123 | eFG% | #29153.7 |
| 16.5#168 | TOV% | #12117.5 |
| 26.1#321 | ORB% | #6127.8 |
| 31.2#278 | FT rate | #32842.3 |
| 10.2#257 | Block% | #2687.8 |
| 55.5#102 | Assist% | #20353.1 |
| 55.0#59 | 2P% | #30654.8 |
| 32.8#241 | 3P% | #21234.4 |
| 69.3#291 | FT% | — |
| 42.3#130 | 3PA rate | #30935.3 |
Long Beach St. offense vs UC San Diego defense
| Long Beach St. O | Stat | UC San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#56 | Tempo | #10869.7 |
| 50.6#207 | eFG% | #4848.4 |
| 18.0#270 | TOV% | #16916.8 |
| 26.2#316 | ORB% | #3927.0 |
| 30.7#287 | FT rate | #5029.3 |
| 7.2#19 | Block% | #2867.6 |
| 46.2#313 | Assist% | #29956.9 |
| 51.5#192 | 2P% | #7549.3 |
| 32.7#244 | 3P% | #5031.5 |
| 72.5#192 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#278 | 3PA rate | #4843.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UC San Diego
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 70–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cal Poly159 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 64–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 71–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal Poly159 | W 80–64 |
Long Beach St.
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Hawaii132 | W 84–75 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UC Davis188 | L 70–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 88–87 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Cal Poly159 | L 92–102 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 76–78 |
