Model line
UC Santa Barbara −2.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Santa Barbara 61%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
UC Riverside home
61%Win probability39%
The model makes UC Santa Barbara a 2.7-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UC Santa Barbara offense vs UC Riverside defense
| UC Santa Barbara O | Stat | UC Riverside D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#241 | Tempo | #5171.1 |
| 54.7#50 | eFG% | #25752.7 |
| 18.7#311 | TOV% | #25315.5 |
| 31.0#167 | ORB% | #16130.0 |
| 36.8#137 | FT rate | #31140.9 |
| 9.9#233 | Block% | #13110.1 |
| 54.6#124 | Assist% | #13350.7 |
| 53.6#104 | 2P% | #27053.8 |
| 37.4#23 | 3P% | #15833.5 |
| 77.5#25 | FT% | — |
| 44.1#89 | 3PA rate | #35731.7 |
UC Riverside offense vs UC Santa Barbara defense
| UC Riverside O | Stat | UC Santa Barbara D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#51 | Tempo | #24167.1 |
| 48.9#293 | eFG% | #24752.6 |
| 19.0#322 | TOV% | #17016.8 |
| 27.8#275 | ORB% | #1525.5 |
| 35.0#182 | FT rate | #33042.4 |
| 8.6#116 | Block% | #3276.6 |
| 49.7#248 | Assist% | #8749.0 |
| 49.9#259 | 2P% | #25553.5 |
| 31.6#304 | 3P% | #17833.9 |
| 74.2#123 | FT% | — |
| 38.3#206 | 3PA rate | #30135.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UC Santa Barbara
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Davis188 | L 73–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UC San Diego102 | L 63–64 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 60–64 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UC Riverside223 | W 70–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Hawaii132 | L 75–78 |
UC Riverside
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Hawaii132 | L 74–93 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | W 95–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | L 59–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | UC Davis188 | L 73–78 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 93–65 |
