Model line
Cal Baptist −4.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Cal Baptist 68%
Projected tempo
72.5
possessions
Site
Cal Baptist home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes Cal Baptist a 4.4-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal Poly offense vs Cal Baptist defense
| Cal Poly O | Stat | Cal Baptist D |
|---|---|---|
| 76.1#1 | Tempo | #22267.5 |
| 51.5#171 | eFG% | #1446.3 |
| 19.9#346 | TOV% | #15017.0 |
| 30.0#197 | ORB% | #4227.2 |
| 34.9#184 | FT rate | #22836.6 |
| 11.4#324 | Block% | #2977.3 |
| 49.6#249 | Assist% | #2745.5 |
| 53.7#92 | 2P% | #3347.3 |
| 33.0#228 | 3P% | #529.5 |
| 78.5#12 | FT% | — |
| 52.6#5 | 3PA rate | #35831.6 |
Cal Baptist offense vs Cal Poly defense
| Cal Baptist O | Stat | Cal Poly D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#222 | Tempo | #176.1 |
| 48.3#306 | eFG% | #29253.8 |
| 17.9#264 | TOV% | #20716.2 |
| 37.5#13 | ORB% | #13829.6 |
| 35.9#153 | FT rate | #15434.1 |
| 9.6#195 | Block% | #3505.7 |
| 39.9#362 | Assist% | #17952.5 |
| 47.4#325 | 2P% | #30955.0 |
| 33.4#199 | 3P% | #22834.7 |
| 71.3#229 | FT% | — |
| 32.0#329 | 3PA rate | #13340.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal Poly
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC San Diego102 | L 69–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 108–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 85–107 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 64–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Long Beach St.264 | W 102–92 |
Cal Baptist
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Kansas8 | L 60–68 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Utah Valley120 | W 63–61 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah Tech254 | W 86–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Southern Utah246 | W 82–75 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Abilene Christian242 | W 87–48 |
