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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Cal St. Bakersfield · #286 · BW · 0–0Sacramento St. · #174 · BW · 0–0Sat, Jan 2 · 10:00 PM ETHornet Pavilion · Sacramento, CA
Model line
Sacramento St. −11.6
Win probability
Sacramento St. 89%
Projected tempo
72.1
possessions
Site
Sacramento St. home
11%Win probability89%

The model makes Sacramento St. a 11.6-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Cal St. Bakersfield offense vs Sacramento St. defense

Cal St. Bakersfield OStatSacramento St. D
72.6#14Tempo#2272.3
45.7#352eFG%#33155.0
18.9#315TOV%#14617.1
30.4#183ORB%#30633.4
42.2#27FT rate#21636.2
9.1#150Block%#2727.8
44.6#339Assist%#31557.9
46.6#3362P%#34056.8
29.0#3533P%#26035.2
73.8#140FT%—
28.9#3563PA rate#5043.7

Sacramento St. offense vs Cal St. Bakersfield defense

Sacramento St. OStatCal St. Bakersfield D
72.3#22Tempo#1472.6
47.0#338eFG%#29954.0
14.1#27TOV%#10417.9
25.2#336ORB%#34835.6
41.2#43FT rate#33142.6
8.5#103Block%#1913.6
48.9#268Assist%#23154.2
46.6#3382P%#27353.9
31.9#2843P%#30036.0
78.1#16FT%—
35.6#2573PA rate#19739.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Cal St. Bakersfield

Sat, Mar 7ACal Poly159L 76–108
Thu, Mar 5HCal St. Northridge190L 84–86
Sat, Feb 28HLong Beach St.264L 87–88
Thu, Feb 26AUC San Diego102L 72–84
Sat, Feb 21HCal St. Fullerton213L 80–88

Sacramento St.

Sat, Mar 7NIdaho238L 45–68
Mon, Mar 2HIdaho St.327W 83–65
Sat, Feb 28AMontana St.134L 61–82
Thu, Feb 26AMontana228L 73–81
Sat, Feb 21HIdaho238L 80–86