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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Cal St. Bakersfield · #286 · BW · 0–0Utah Valley · #120 · BW · 0–0Thu, Dec 31 · 4:00 PM ETESPN+UCCU Center · Orem, UT
Model line
Utah Valley −16.1
Win probability
Utah Valley 95%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
Utah Valley home
5%Win probability95%

The model makes Utah Valley a 16.1-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Cal St. Bakersfield offense vs Utah Valley defense

Cal St. Bakersfield OStatUtah Valley D
72.6#14Tempo#12469.4
45.7#352eFG%#8249.4
18.9#315TOV%#921.3
30.4#183ORB%#22531.4
42.2#27FT rate#29139.2
9.1#150Block%#1813.7
44.6#339Assist%#18452.5
46.6#3362P%#4047.7
29.0#3533P%#26235.2
73.8#140FT%—
28.9#3563PA rate#34333.3

Utah Valley offense vs Cal St. Bakersfield defense

Utah Valley OStatCal St. Bakersfield D
69.4#124Tempo#1472.6
54.9#44eFG%#29954.0
20.1#350TOV%#10417.9
34.8#54ORB%#34835.6
38.2#98FT rate#33142.6
8.1#69Block%#1913.6
62.1#17Assist%#23154.2
56.9#332P%#27353.9
34.0#1763P%#30036.0
68.6#309FT%—
32.9#3173PA rate#19739.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Cal St. Bakersfield

Sat, Mar 7ACal Poly159L 76–108
Thu, Mar 5HCal St. Northridge190L 84–86
Sat, Feb 28HLong Beach St.264L 87–88
Thu, Feb 26AUC San Diego102L 72–84
Sat, Feb 21HCal St. Fullerton213L 80–88

Utah Valley

Wed, Mar 18HGeorge Washington103L 78–79
Sat, Mar 14NCal Baptist216L 61–63
Fri, Mar 13NUT Arlington232W 67–65
Sat, Mar 7AUtah Tech254W 104–101
Thu, Mar 5ASouthern Utah246W 92–88