Model line
UC San Diego −1.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC San Diego 57%
Projected tempo
71.9
possessions
Site
Cal St. Fullerton home
57%Win probability43%
The model makes UC San Diego a 1.7-point favorite, winning about 57 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UC San Diego offense vs Cal St. Fullerton defense
| UC San Diego O | Stat | Cal St. Fullerton D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#108 | Tempo | #275.5 |
| 52.6#123 | eFG% | #30854.3 |
| 16.5#168 | TOV% | #3319.5 |
| 26.1#321 | ORB% | #7928.3 |
| 31.2#278 | FT rate | #18735.3 |
| 10.2#257 | Block% | #2168.6 |
| 55.5#102 | Assist% | #33459.7 |
| 55.0#59 | 2P% | #34357.1 |
| 32.8#241 | 3P% | #18034.0 |
| 69.3#291 | FT% | — |
| 42.3#130 | 3PA rate | #1846.4 |
Cal St. Fullerton offense vs UC San Diego defense
| Cal St. Fullerton O | Stat | UC San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 75.5#2 | Tempo | #10869.7 |
| 51.4#174 | eFG% | #4848.4 |
| 15.2#76 | TOV% | #16916.8 |
| 24.6#345 | ORB% | #3927.0 |
| 37.8#106 | FT rate | #5029.3 |
| 8.5#99 | Block% | #2867.6 |
| 55.2#108 | Assist% | #29956.9 |
| 51.4#197 | 2P% | #7549.3 |
| 34.2#159 | 3P% | #5031.5 |
| 71.6#215 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#108 | 3PA rate | #4843.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UC San Diego
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 70–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cal Poly159 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 64–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 71–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal Poly159 | W 80–64 |
Cal St. Fullerton
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Hawaii132 | L 63–78 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UC Davis188 | W 82–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Cal St. Northridge190 | W 90–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UC San Diego102 | W 75–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Hawaii132 | L 85–87 |
