Model line
UC Riverside −3.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Riverside 63%
Projected tempo
73.0
possessions
Site
UC Riverside home
37%Win probability63%
The model makes UC Riverside a 3.3-point favorite, winning about 63 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal Poly offense vs UC Riverside defense
| Cal Poly O | Stat | UC Riverside D |
|---|---|---|
| 76.1#1 | Tempo | #5171.1 |
| 51.5#171 | eFG% | #25752.7 |
| 19.9#346 | TOV% | #25315.5 |
| 30.0#197 | ORB% | #16130.0 |
| 34.9#184 | FT rate | #31140.9 |
| 11.4#324 | Block% | #13110.1 |
| 49.6#249 | Assist% | #13350.7 |
| 53.7#92 | 2P% | #27053.8 |
| 33.0#228 | 3P% | #15833.5 |
| 78.5#12 | FT% | — |
| 52.6#5 | 3PA rate | #35731.7 |
UC Riverside offense vs Cal Poly defense
| UC Riverside O | Stat | Cal Poly D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#51 | Tempo | #176.1 |
| 48.9#293 | eFG% | #29253.8 |
| 19.0#322 | TOV% | #20716.2 |
| 27.8#275 | ORB% | #13829.6 |
| 35.0#182 | FT rate | #15434.1 |
| 8.6#116 | Block% | #3505.7 |
| 49.7#248 | Assist% | #17952.5 |
| 49.9#259 | 2P% | #30955.0 |
| 31.6#304 | 3P% | #22834.7 |
| 74.2#123 | FT% | — |
| 38.3#206 | 3PA rate | #13340.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal Poly
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC San Diego102 | L 69–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 108–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 85–107 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 64–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Long Beach St.264 | W 102–92 |
UC Riverside
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Hawaii132 | L 74–93 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | W 95–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | L 59–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | UC Davis188 | L 73–78 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 93–65 |
