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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UC San Diego · #102 · BW · 0–0UC Irvine · #109 · BW · 0–0Sat, Dec 5 · 10:00 PM ETESPN+Bren Events Center · Irvine, CA
Model line
UC Irvine −5.5
Win probability
UC Irvine 72%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
UC Irvine home
28%Win probability72%

The model makes UC Irvine a 5.5-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UC San Diego offense vs UC Irvine defense

UC San Diego OStatUC Irvine D
69.7#108Tempo#6370.8
52.6#123eFG%#1145.9
16.5#168TOV%#5918.8
26.1#321ORB%#21231.2
31.2#278FT rate#1926.7
10.2#257Block%#1114.9
55.5#102Assist%#24954.8
55.0#592P%#143.1
32.8#2413P%#16833.7
69.3#291FT%—
42.3#1303PA rate#23638.0

UC Irvine offense vs UC San Diego defense

UC Irvine OStatUC San Diego D
70.8#63Tempo#10869.7
49.5#270eFG%#4848.4
17.8#263TOV%#16916.8
31.0#166ORB%#3927.0
35.9#159FT rate#5029.3
9.1#153Block%#2867.6
55.1#113Assist%#29956.9
49.1#2812P%#7549.3
33.6#1943P%#5031.5
69.7#280FT%—
28.0#3603PA rate#4843.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UC San Diego

Thu, Mar 12NCal St. Northridge190L 70–80
Wed, Mar 11NCal Poly159W 72–69
Sat, Mar 7AUC Santa Barbara101W 64–63
Thu, Mar 5ACal St. Fullerton213L 71–75
Sat, Feb 28HCal Poly159W 80–64

UC Irvine

Tue, Mar 17HUNLV89L 72–75
Sat, Mar 14NHawaii132L 64–71
Fri, Mar 13NCal St. Northridge190W 93–78
Sat, Mar 7HUC Davis188W 79–69
Thu, Mar 5HCal Poly159W 107–85