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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Cal Baptist · #216 · BW · 0–0UC Riverside · #223 · BW · 0–0Sat, Dec 5 · 9:00 PM ETESPN+SRC Arena · Riverside, CA
Model line
UC Riverside −6.0
Win probability
UC Riverside 74%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
UC Riverside home
27%Win probability74%

The model makes UC Riverside a 6.0-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Cal Baptist offense vs UC Riverside defense

Cal Baptist OStatUC Riverside D
67.5#222Tempo#5171.1
48.3#306eFG%#25752.7
17.9#264TOV%#25315.5
37.5#13ORB%#16130.0
35.9#153FT rate#31140.9
9.6#195Block%#13110.1
39.9#362Assist%#13350.7
47.4#3252P%#27053.8
33.4#1993P%#15833.5
71.3#229FT%—
32.0#3293PA rate#35731.7

UC Riverside offense vs Cal Baptist defense

UC Riverside OStatCal Baptist D
71.1#51Tempo#22267.5
48.9#293eFG%#1446.3
19.0#322TOV%#15017.0
27.8#275ORB%#4227.2
35.0#182FT rate#22836.6
8.6#116Block%#2977.3
49.7#248Assist%#2745.5
49.9#2592P%#3347.3
31.6#3043P%#529.5
74.2#123FT%—
38.3#2063PA rate#35831.6

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Cal Baptist

Fri, Mar 20NKansas8L 60–68
Sat, Mar 14NUtah Valley120W 63–61
Fri, Mar 13NUtah Tech254W 86–72
Sat, Mar 7ASouthern Utah246W 82–75
Thu, Mar 5HAbilene Christian242W 87–48

UC Riverside

Thu, Mar 5AHawaii132L 74–93
Sat, Feb 28HCal St. Northridge190W 95–84
Thu, Feb 26AUC Santa Barbara101L 59–70
Sat, Feb 21HUC Davis188L 73–78
Thu, Feb 19HCal St. Bakersfield286W 93–65