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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Sacramento St. · #174 · BW · 0–0Utah Valley · #120 · BW · 0–0Sat, Dec 5 · 4:00 PM ETESPN+UCCU Center · Orem, UT
Model line
Utah Valley −11.9
Win probability
Utah Valley 90%
Projected tempo
72.3
possessions
Site
Utah Valley home
10%Win probability90%

The model makes Utah Valley a 11.9-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Sacramento St. offense vs Utah Valley defense

Sacramento St. OStatUtah Valley D
72.3#22Tempo#12469.4
47.0#338eFG%#8249.4
14.1#27TOV%#921.3
25.2#336ORB%#22531.4
41.2#43FT rate#29139.2
8.5#103Block%#1813.7
48.9#268Assist%#18452.5
46.6#3382P%#4047.7
31.9#2843P%#26235.2
78.1#16FT%—
35.6#2573PA rate#34333.3

Utah Valley offense vs Sacramento St. defense

Utah Valley OStatSacramento St. D
69.4#124Tempo#2272.3
54.9#44eFG%#33155.0
20.1#350TOV%#14617.1
34.8#54ORB%#30633.4
38.2#98FT rate#21636.2
8.1#69Block%#2727.8
62.1#17Assist%#31557.9
56.9#332P%#34056.8
34.0#1763P%#26035.2
68.6#309FT%—
32.9#3173PA rate#5043.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Sacramento St.

Sat, Mar 7NIdaho238L 45–68
Mon, Mar 2HIdaho St.327W 83–65
Sat, Feb 28AMontana St.134L 61–82
Thu, Feb 26AMontana228L 73–81
Sat, Feb 21HIdaho238L 80–86

Utah Valley

Wed, Mar 18HGeorge Washington103L 78–79
Sat, Mar 14NCal Baptist216L 61–63
Fri, Mar 13NUT Arlington232W 67–65
Sat, Mar 7AUtah Tech254W 104–101
Thu, Mar 5ASouthern Utah246W 92–88