Model line
UC Santa Barbara −12.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Santa Barbara 90%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
UC Santa Barbara home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes UC Santa Barbara a 12.1-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal Poly offense vs UC Santa Barbara defense
| Cal Poly O | Stat | UC Santa Barbara D |
|---|---|---|
| 76.1#1 | Tempo | #24167.1 |
| 51.5#171 | eFG% | #24752.6 |
| 19.9#346 | TOV% | #17016.8 |
| 30.0#197 | ORB% | #1525.5 |
| 34.9#184 | FT rate | #33042.4 |
| 11.4#324 | Block% | #3276.6 |
| 49.6#249 | Assist% | #8749.0 |
| 53.7#92 | 2P% | #25553.5 |
| 33.0#228 | 3P% | #17833.9 |
| 78.5#12 | FT% | — |
| 52.6#5 | 3PA rate | #30135.7 |
UC Santa Barbara offense vs Cal Poly defense
| UC Santa Barbara O | Stat | Cal Poly D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#241 | Tempo | #176.1 |
| 54.7#50 | eFG% | #29253.8 |
| 18.7#311 | TOV% | #20716.2 |
| 31.0#167 | ORB% | #13829.6 |
| 36.8#137 | FT rate | #15434.1 |
| 9.9#233 | Block% | #3505.7 |
| 54.6#124 | Assist% | #17952.5 |
| 53.6#104 | 2P% | #30955.0 |
| 37.4#23 | 3P% | #22834.7 |
| 77.5#25 | FT% | — |
| 44.1#89 | 3PA rate | #13340.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal Poly
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC San Diego102 | L 69–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 108–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 85–107 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 64–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Long Beach St.264 | W 102–92 |
UC Santa Barbara
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Davis188 | L 73–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UC San Diego102 | L 63–64 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 60–64 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UC Riverside223 | W 70–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Hawaii132 | L 75–78 |
