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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Cal Poly · #159 · BW · 0–0Cal St. Northridge · #190 · BW · 0–0Thu, Dec 3 · 10:00 PM ETESPN+Premier America Credit Union Arena · Northridge, CA
Model line
Cal St. Northridge −6.4
Win probability
Cal St. Northridge 75%
Projected tempo
74.8
possessions
Site
Cal St. Northridge home
25%Win probability75%

The model makes Cal St. Northridge a 6.4-point favorite, winning about 75 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Cal Poly offense vs Cal St. Northridge defense

Cal Poly OStatCal St. Northridge D
76.1#1Tempo#375.3
51.5#171eFG%#19051.6
19.9#346TOV%#19116.4
30.0#197ORB%#2626.6
34.9#184FT rate#16034.3
11.4#324Block%#2098.7
49.6#249Assist%#31257.9
53.7#922P%#17551.7
33.0#2283P%#20934.4
78.5#12FT%—
52.6#53PA rate#748.6

Cal St. Northridge offense vs Cal Poly defense

Cal St. Northridge OStatCal Poly D
75.3#3Tempo#176.1
51.3#181eFG%#29253.8
17.5#234TOV%#20716.2
31.9#127ORB%#13829.6
34.2#201FT rate#15434.1
10.1#244Block%#3505.7
56.6#75Assist%#17952.5
52.6#1442P%#30955.0
32.4#2583P%#22834.7
66.8#344FT%—
33.6#3073PA rate#13340.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Cal Poly

Wed, Mar 11NUC San Diego102L 69–72
Sat, Mar 7HCal St. Bakersfield286W 108–76
Thu, Mar 5AUC Irvine109L 85–107
Sat, Feb 28AUC San Diego102L 64–80
Thu, Feb 26HLong Beach St.264W 102–92

Cal St. Northridge

Fri, Mar 13NUC Irvine109L 78–93
Thu, Mar 12NUC San Diego102W 80–70
Sat, Mar 7HCal St. Fullerton213L 77–90
Thu, Mar 5ACal St. Bakersfield286W 86–84
Sat, Feb 28AUC Riverside223L 84–95