Model line
UC Santa Barbara −5.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Santa Barbara 73%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Cal St. Bakersfield home
73%Win probability27%
The model makes UC Santa Barbara a 5.8-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UC Santa Barbara offense vs Cal St. Bakersfield defense
| UC Santa Barbara O | Stat | Cal St. Bakersfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#241 | Tempo | #1472.6 |
| 54.7#50 | eFG% | #29954.0 |
| 18.7#311 | TOV% | #10417.9 |
| 31.0#167 | ORB% | #34835.6 |
| 36.8#137 | FT rate | #33142.6 |
| 9.9#233 | Block% | #1913.6 |
| 54.6#124 | Assist% | #23154.2 |
| 53.6#104 | 2P% | #27353.9 |
| 37.4#23 | 3P% | #30036.0 |
| 77.5#25 | FT% | — |
| 44.1#89 | 3PA rate | #19739.0 |
Cal St. Bakersfield offense vs UC Santa Barbara defense
| Cal St. Bakersfield O | Stat | UC Santa Barbara D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.6#14 | Tempo | #24167.1 |
| 45.7#352 | eFG% | #24752.6 |
| 18.9#315 | TOV% | #17016.8 |
| 30.4#183 | ORB% | #1525.5 |
| 42.2#27 | FT rate | #33042.4 |
| 9.1#150 | Block% | #3276.6 |
| 44.6#339 | Assist% | #8749.0 |
| 46.6#336 | 2P% | #25553.5 |
| 29.0#353 | 3P% | #17833.9 |
| 73.8#140 | FT% | — |
| 28.9#356 | 3PA rate | #30135.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UC Santa Barbara
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Davis188 | L 73–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UC San Diego102 | L 63–64 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 60–64 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UC Riverside223 | W 70–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Hawaii132 | L 75–78 |
Cal St. Bakersfield
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Cal Poly159 | L 76–108 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 84–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Long Beach St.264 | L 87–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 72–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 80–88 |
